Market Cycle Brief — September 26, 2026: BTC 41/100, Platinum Down 5.1
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 41/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 4 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 41/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-26
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 88/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 88/170 | late |
| Weekly | 56/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 88/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 88/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 56/24).
Movers
- Platinum: 55.2 → 50.1 (Δ -5.1)
- Ethereum: 35.8 → 37.8 (Δ +2.0)
- XRP: 35.8 → 37.8 (Δ +2.0)
News context
- Aave V4 on Base adds Coinbase tokenized stocks as collateral for USDC loans — theblock · positive
- KelpDAO sues LayerZero, claims it endorsed setup used in $292 million rsETH exploit — theblock · negative
- Morning Minute: BlackRock Leans Deeper Into Tokenization with Ondo — decrypt · negative
- Bitcoin holders are cashing out, just not the way they did at prior market tops — coindesk · negative
- Ethena expands USDe backing strategy into bStocks and equity perpetuals on Binance — theblock · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 40.8 | 0.0 | late | |
| Ethereum | 37.8 | +2.0 | — | |
| XRP | 37.8 | +2.0 | — | |
| Solana | 37.8 | +2.0 | — | |
| Sui | 37.8 | +2.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 35 | 0.0 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 42.6 | -0.3 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| Dow Jones | 26.4 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-09-25 |
| Russell 2000 | 32.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| DAX 40 | 32.8 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| Nikkei 225 | 26.7 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-09-25 |
| FTSE 100 | 25.9 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| NVIDIA | 16 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-25 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-25 |
| Gold | 45.1 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-09-25 |
| Silver | 45.1 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-25 |
| Platinum | 50.1 | -5.1 | — | 2026-09-25 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-25 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.