Market Cycle Brief — September 30, 2026: BTC 40/100, FTSE 100 Up 24.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 40/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 4 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 40/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-09-30
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 92/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 92/170 | late |
| Weekly | 60/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 92/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 92/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 60/24).
Movers
- FTSE 100: 25.4 → 49.6 (Δ +24.2)
- Platinum: 44.1 → 50 (Δ +5.9)
- Gold: 39.1 → 40 (Δ +0.9)
News context
- Bitwise launches first US spot NEAR ETF with staking rewards — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin surging to $100,000 may be in play, after outperforming gold — coindesk · positive
- Ethereum users get another way to pay privately as zk.money returns after three years — coindesk · positive
- Ondo Perps CEO sees ‘huge opportunity’ for perps in US market, under different model — theblock · positive
- Aave leads DeFi higher as crypto shrugs off surging bond market — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 40.5 | -0.1 | late | |
| Ethereum | 37.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 37.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 37.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 37.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 25.8 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-29 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 36.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-29 |
| Dow Jones | 26.1 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-09-29 |
| Russell 2000 | 31.4 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-29 |
| DAX 40 | 32.2 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-29 |
| Nikkei 225 | 25.8 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 49.6 | +24.2 | extended | 2026-09-29 |
| NVIDIA | 15.5 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-29 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-29 |
| Gold | 40 | +0.9 | mid | 2026-09-29 |
| Silver | 40 | +0.9 | — | 2026-09-29 |
| Platinum | 50 | +5.9 | — | 2026-09-29 |
| US Dollar Index | 23.8 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-29 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.