Market Cycle Brief — October 1, 2026: BTC 40/100, US Dollar Index Up 26.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 40/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 1 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 40/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-01
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 93/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 93/170 | late |
| Weekly | 61/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 93/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 93/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 61/24).
Movers
- US Dollar Index: 23.8 → 50 (Δ +26.2)
- NASDAQ Composite: 36.2 → 36 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 31.4 → 31.2 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Live updates: Bitcoin closing out best quarter since 2024, ether its best since 2021 — coindesk · positive
- Cardano tapped by Brazil’s state oil giant to track cleaner jet fuel and diesel — coindesk · positive
- DogeOS launches testnet to bring EVM smart contracts to Dogecoin — theblock · positive
- Bitget hackers move $4 million into Zcash’s private pool, making funds harder to trace — coindesk · negative
- Bitcoin bulls have one price level to defend — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 40.5 | 0.0 | late | |
| Ethereum | 37.5 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 37.5 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 37.5 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 37.5 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 25.7 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-30 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 36 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-30 |
| Dow Jones | 26.1 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-30 |
| Russell 2000 | 31.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-30 |
| DAX 40 | 32 | -0.2 | late | 2026-09-30 |
| Nikkei 225 | 25.6 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 49.5 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-09-30 |
| NVIDIA | 15.4 | -0.1 | late | 2026-09-30 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-09-30 |
| Gold | 39.9 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-09-30 |
| Silver | 39.9 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-30 |
| Platinum | 49.9 | -0.1 | — | 2026-09-30 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | +26.2 | extended | 2026-09-30 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.