Market Cycle Brief — October 2, 2026: BTC 56/100, Gold Up 5.4
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 56/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 3 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 56/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-02
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 94/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 94/170 | late |
| Weekly | 62/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 94/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 94/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 62/24).
Movers
- Gold: 39.9 → 45.3 (Δ +5.4)
- Silver: 39.9 → 45.3 (Δ +5.4)
- Platinum: 49.9 → 55.3 (Δ +5.4)
News context
- Evernorth shareholders approve $1 billion XRP treasury deal, clearing path to Nasdaq debut — theblock · positive
- Citigroup raises 12-month bitcoin target to $113,000 as ETF inflows resume — coindesk · positive
- Ethereum Foundation launches zkAPI to let users pay for AI models without revealing identity — theblock · positive
- Zcash Drops 21% From Recent High—Here’s Why the Rally May Not Be Over — decrypt · positive
- It's the Start of Uptober. Will Bitcoin Live Up to It? — decrypt · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 56.1 | -0.1 | late | |
| Ethereum | 51.1 | -2.1 | — | |
| XRP | 51.1 | -2.1 | — | |
| Solana | 51.1 | -2.1 | — | |
| Sui | 51.1 | -2.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 25.6 | -0.1 | late | 2026-10-01 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 35.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-01 |
| Dow Jones | 26 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-01 |
| Russell 2000 | 31 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-01 |
| DAX 40 | 31.9 | -0.1 | late | 2026-10-01 |
| Nikkei 225 | 25.4 | -0.2 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 49.3 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-01 |
| NVIDIA | 15.3 | -0.1 | late | 2026-10-01 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-01 |
| Gold | 45.3 | +5.4 | mid | 2026-10-01 |
| Silver | 45.3 | +5.4 | — | 2026-10-01 |
| Platinum | 55.3 | +5.4 | — | 2026-10-01 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-01 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.