Market Cycle Brief — October 3, 2026: BTC 56/100, Ethereum Up 2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 56/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 4 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 56/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-03
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 95/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 95/170 | late |
| Weekly | 63/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 95/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 95/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 63/24).
Movers
- Ethereum: 51.1 → 53.1 (Δ +2.0)
- XRP: 51.1 → 53.1 (Δ +2.0)
- Solana: 51.1 → 53.1 (Δ +2.0)
News context
- Once a $2 billion Ethereum layer-2, Blast is shutting down after assets plunge 98% — coindesk · negative
- Bitcoin nears highest level since January as $85,000 sell wall clears, US jobs data disappoints — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin tops $86,000 ahead of U.S. jobs report — coindesk · positive
- Live updates: Bitcoin trading near $86,000 after big miss on U.S. jobs — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin open interest jumps $2.3 billion as traders pay more for bullish positions — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 56.1 | 0.0 | late | |
| Ethereum | 53.1 | +2.0 | — | |
| XRP | 53.1 | +2.0 | — | |
| Solana | 53.1 | +2.0 | — | |
| Sui | 53.1 | +2.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 25.5 | -0.1 | late | 2026-10-02 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 35.5 | -0.3 | late | 2026-10-02 |
| Dow Jones | 25.9 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-02 |
| Russell 2000 | 30.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-02 |
| DAX 40 | 31.7 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-02 |
| Nikkei 225 | 25.4 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-02 |
| FTSE 100 | 49.2 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-02 |
| NVIDIA | 15.1 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-02 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-02 |
| Gold | 45.2 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-10-02 |
| Silver | 45.2 | -0.1 | — | 2026-10-02 |
| Platinum | 55.2 | -0.1 | — | 2026-10-02 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-02 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.