Market Cycle Brief — October 5, 2026: BTC 46/100, Nikkei 225 Down 0.5
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 46/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 46/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-05
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 97/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 97/170 | late |
| Weekly | 65/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 97/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 97/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 65/24).
Movers
- Nikkei 225: 25.4 → 24.9 (Δ -0.5)
- NASDAQ Composite: 35.8 → 35.5 (Δ -0.3)
- Gold: 45.2 → 44.9 (Δ -0.3)
News context
- Trump Taps Jay Clayton, the SEC Chair Who Sued Ripple, to Lead AI Push — decrypt · negative
- 'We Have Identified You, Sir': Near Intents Recovers $3.8 Million After 48-Hour Ultimatum — decrypt · negative
- 'Uptober' Starts Green as Bitcoin ETFs Draw $134 Million — decrypt · positive
- Trump taps intel chief Jay Clayton to lead new Super Intelligence Force — cointelegraph · positive
- El Salvador receives $138 million from IMF after Bitcoin waivers granted — cointelegraph · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 45.8 | -0.1 | late | |
| Ethereum | 40.8 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 40.8 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 40.8 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 40.8 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 25.5 | -0.1 | late | 2026-10-02 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 35.5 | -0.3 | late | 2026-10-02 |
| Dow Jones | 25.9 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-02 |
| Russell 2000 | 30.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-02 |
| DAX 40 | 31.7 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-02 |
| Nikkei 225 | 24.9 | -0.5 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 49.2 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-02 |
| NVIDIA | 15.1 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-02 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-02 |
| Gold | 44.9 | -0.3 | mid | 2026-10-04 |
| Silver | 44.9 | -0.3 | — | 2026-10-04 |
| Platinum | 54.9 | -0.3 | — | 2026-10-04 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-04 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.