Market Cycle Brief — October 13, 2026: BTC 40/100, S&P 500 Down 9
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 40/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 4 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 40/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-13
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 105/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 105/170 | late |
| Weekly | 73/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 105/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 105/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 73/24).
Movers
- S&P 500: 38.1 → 29.1 (Δ -9.0)
- NASDAQ Composite: 41.5 → 34.1 (Δ -7.4)
- Ethereum: 32.7 → 34.7 (Δ +2.0)
News context
- Bitmine adds 12,532 ETH as Tom Lee flags potential ‘largest-ever’ crypto bull market — theblock · positive
- South Korea just got its first traditional bank loans backed by bitcoin — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin slides below $82,000 as crypto liquidations surge past $770 million — theblock · negative
- DeFi Development grows SOL holdings 12% as CHAD hits record highs — theblock · positive
- Bitcoin falls below $83,000 as dollar strength keeps markets on edge — coindesk · negative
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 39.7 | 0.0 | late | |
| Ethereum | 34.7 | +2.0 | — | |
| XRP | 34.7 | +2.0 | — | |
| Solana | 34.7 | +2.0 | — | |
| Sui | 34.7 | +2.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 29.1 | -9.0 | extended | 2026-10-12 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 34.1 | -7.4 | late | 2026-10-12 |
| Dow Jones | 34 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-12 |
| Russell 2000 | 37.7 | -0.6 | late | 2026-10-12 |
| DAX 40 | 59.4 | -0.4 | extended | 2026-10-12 |
| Nikkei 225 | 29 | -0.8 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 53.3 | -0.4 | extended | 2026-10-12 |
| NVIDIA | 29.1 | -0.3 | extended | 2026-10-12 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-12 |
| Gold | 35.3 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-10-12 |
| Silver | 35.3 | -0.2 | — | 2026-10-12 |
| Platinum | 45.3 | -0.2 | — | 2026-10-12 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-12 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.