Market Cycle Brief — October 14, 2026: BTC 40/100, NVIDIA Up 8.6
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 40/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 2 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 40/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-14
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 106/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 106/170 | late |
| Weekly | 74/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 106/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 106/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 74/24).
Movers
- NVIDIA: 29.1 → 37.7 (Δ +8.6)
- Russell 2000: 37.7 → 43.1 (Δ +5.4)
- Ethereum: 34.7 → 32.6 (Δ -2.1)
News context
- Most tokenized stock trading on Solana, BNB Chain occurs outside US market hours — cointelegraph · negative
- Strive buys 3,311 bitcoin for $280 million in largest acquisition since January — theblock · positive
- South Korea blocks 27 crypto exchanges, including Bitmart and Kucoin — coindesk · negative
- Stacks' STX, a Bitcoin layer-2 token, has surged by 50% in four weeks — coindesk · positive
- Strive raising $500 million to buy additional bitcoin with new preferred share class — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 39.6 | -0.1 | late | |
| Ethereum | 32.6 | -2.1 | — | |
| XRP | 32.6 | -2.1 | — | |
| Solana | 32.6 | -2.1 | — | |
| Sui | 32.6 | -2.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 29 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-13 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 33.9 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-13 |
| Dow Jones | 34 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-13 |
| Russell 2000 | 43.1 | +5.4 | late | 2026-10-13 |
| DAX 40 | 59.2 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-13 |
| Nikkei 225 | 28.9 | -0.1 | extended | |
| FTSE 100 | 53.1 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-13 |
| NVIDIA | 37.7 | +8.6 | extended | 2026-10-13 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-13 |
| Gold | 35.2 | -0.1 | mid | 2026-10-13 |
| Silver | 35.2 | -0.1 | — | 2026-10-13 |
| Platinum | 45.2 | -0.1 | — | 2026-10-13 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-13 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.