Market Cycle Brief — October 24, 2026: BTC 45/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 0.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 45/100, unchanged from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 45/100, unchanged from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-24
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 116/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 116/170 | late |
| Weekly | 84/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 116/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 116/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 84/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 32 → 31.8 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 41.4 → 41.2 (Δ -0.2)
- Nikkei 225: 21.8 → 21.6 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Live updates: Bitcoin holds above $81,000 as oil prices hit six-month high — coindesk · positive
- Robinhood sees surge in bitcoin, gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sports — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin Core changes security policy as AI makes bugs easier to find — cointelegraph · positive
- Chainlink partners with LG CNS to drive Korean won stablecoin expansion — theblock · positive
- US senator probes Tether after reported deal with ex-Trump crypto adviser — cointelegraph · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 44.6 | 0.0 | late | |
| Ethereum | 37.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| XRP | 37.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| Solana | 37.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| Sui | 37.6 | 0.0 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 36.8 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 31.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-23 |
| Dow Jones | 33.3 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| Russell 2000 | 41.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-23 |
| DAX 40 | 52.1 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| Nikkei 225 | 21.6 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| FTSE 100 | 46 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| NVIDIA | 36.8 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| Gold | 43.5 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-10-23 |
| Silver | 43.5 | -0.2 | — | 2026-10-23 |
| Platinum | 53.5 | -0.2 | — | 2026-10-23 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.