Market Cycle Brief — October 25, 2026: BTC 44/100, NASDAQ Composite Down 0.2
Bitcoin's cycle score stands at 44/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading. 0 of 18 tracked markets improved vs the prior reading.
Bitcoin
Cycle Score: 44/100, down 0.1 from the prior reading — model date 2026-10-25
| Cycle | Day | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 4-year | 117/1450 | early |
| Yearly | 117/170 | late |
| Weekly | 85/24 | extended |
Bitcoin is on day 117/1450 of its 4-year cycle (early phase). The yearly cycle is in its late phase (day 117/170) and the weekly cycle is extended (day 85/24).
Movers
- NASDAQ Composite: 32 → 31.8 (Δ -0.2)
- Russell 2000: 41.4 → 41.2 (Δ -0.2)
- Nikkei 225: 21.8 → 21.6 (Δ -0.2)
News context
- Crypto longs lose $404 million in four hours as bitcoin briefly slips below $80,000 — theblock · negative
- Crypto under weekend pressure, bitcoin slides below $80,000 on U.S. Middle East evacuations — coindesk · negative
- Bitcoin’s wealthy holders turning to loans and yield as investment habits mature: Xapo CEO — coindesk · positive
- Bitcoin’s wealthy holders turning to loans and yield as investment habits mature: Xapo CEO — coindesk · positive
- Franklin Templeton adds $150 million in fund shares to XRP Ledger, all in one wallet — coindesk · positive
Markets
| Market | Score | Δ | Phase | Model date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 44.5 | -0.1 | late | |
| Ethereum | 37.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| XRP | 37.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| Solana | 37.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| Sui | 37.5 | -0.1 | — | |
| S&P 500 | 36.8 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| NASDAQ Composite | 31.8 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-23 |
| Dow Jones | 33.3 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| Russell 2000 | 41.2 | -0.2 | late | 2026-10-23 |
| DAX 40 | 52.1 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| Nikkei 225 | 21.6 | -0.2 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| FTSE 100 | 46 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| NVIDIA | 36.8 | -0.1 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| JP Morgan Chase | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
| Gold | 43.5 | -0.2 | mid | 2026-10-23 |
| Silver | 43.5 | -0.2 | — | 2026-10-23 |
| Platinum | 53.5 | -0.2 | — | 2026-10-23 |
| US Dollar Index | 50 | 0.0 | extended | 2026-10-23 |
Methodology: How the cycle score works · Bitcoin live dashboard · Previous brief
Generated automatically from Ciklora's daily model outputs; reviewed weekly.
Ciklora is a research and educational tool. It is NOT a financial advisor, broker-dealer, or investment advisor. Signals are based on historical pattern analysis with limited sample sizes. Some assets use proxy models whose correlations can decay or invert in new regimes. Confidence modifier values are calibration factors, not certainty guarantees. Single-model and proxy outputs do not have a meaningful multi-model comparison. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. If you need financial advice, consult a licensed financial advisor.